Based on the numbers at https://steamframeout.com/ you can do some very rough back of the envolope calculations and it’s not looking great.
In recent days, purchases and deliveries seem to move to a pretty consistent 150/day pace. At this rate, moving through the queue of roughly 37.000 reservations will take around 240 days.
Being more generous you could substract the already shipped Frames and assume a more optimistic 160 deliveries per day. This shortens the timespan to just 200 days for the outstanding backlog.
So yeah, the last reservations would be delivered around April 2027.
I am fully aware of all the caveats of the numbers used, this is just a fun little exercise based on available data.
Valve kinda shit the bed with all the hardware this year. I was hyped for all three when first announced, and started a savings fund for all three.
Every new detail that came out killed that excitement a little bit and each launch I decided to pass ultimately. I know this won’t be popular, but decided to pick up a NS2 with the savings instead.
Hopefully they are still making the controllers in two years and I’ll pick up a couple on sale.