2027

My guess would be 2029, because history doesn’t repeat itself but it often rhymes and I want to see Musk jumping down from one of his rockets, but it probably won’t last that long, yes.

No, don’t get me wrong, the domino effect will be there, we will suffer decade long depressions.

It’s just that a) the order of magnitude of the bailouts will be much larger for the USA (because they’ll have to bail out the AI companies’ billions of debt, and because the grifters in power will grift as much as possible), and b) any existing international trust in the USA has already been destroyed by Trump’s antics, so the rest of the world has been decoupling as fast as possible for the last few years, and will keep on doing so, which will mitigate the impact.

In a sense the American domino has already been leaning and putting pressure on its neighbours, so they have had time to brace themselves and start inching away from it, and the impact on them when it falls will be lowered due to the fact that it’s already leaning down, but it itself will still shatter due to the fractures and rot that pervade it.

We’ll have massive recessions, sure.

Worse than the last couple ones.

Inflation above 10%.

But not hyperinflation like in the USA.

We’ll have to bail out the banks that fell for the scam, but not the scammers themselves.

And it might be a good opportunity to finish decoupling from the USA economy, companies, and policies.

It might take a decade or a decade and a half, but we will recover.

The USA on the other hand will suffer the full brunt of the crash, while being already economically, diplomatically, socially, politically, and morally bankrupt, and infected with the most actively incompetent and outright malicious government in its history, a government whose priorities won’t be to save the country but to exploit the situation, or to take the money and run if that proves impossible.

It would almost certainly have been doomed anyway, but this will be the last nail in the coffin and precipitate the collapse.

They can and they will.

If you’re in the USA you’d better be getting ready to burn stacks of hundred trillion dollar notes to stay warm.

they’re about actual intelligence and awareness of self

I personally like the ones about making Powell and Donovan suffer in entertaining ways the most, but yeah, the others are good too

It was considered unethical when Harlow did it to monkeys, but I guess it must be fine when parents do it to their own children, regardless of the ensuing panic disorders… 🤷